There is no huge surprise. Biotechnology, nanotechnology, AI, and major advances in supply chain/logistics will predictably deliver massive disruptive changes in the next 25 years or lessIn fact there is a pattern in Anissimov's language throughout his blog posts. He frequently uses strong, definitive words such as "only" "either...or" "certainly" and "of course" at the beginning of paragraphs and sentences where he purports his vision of the technologically enhanced future. Even his verbiage is composed of "will" "must" and "deliver" and this drives his point home to the reader, as if it were already a reality in Anissimov's mind.
So while Anissimov may not have a true blog personality (and I'll still have to work on finding that!), he comes across as a blogger who remains professional throughout his prose and who also stresses his conviction in his beliefs in regards to Singularity and all that.
Anissimov is also a very orderly blogger who almost always bullet points his arguments like so:
This is a very useful, straight up layout that allows him to guide the reader during the rest of his post as he frequently will refer back to #1 or #3 for example. It is very machine-like and well organized, but it tends also to make his future arguments less interesting because he has piled all his goodies for you in the beginning. Then you're just left sifting through the evidence and it's not that exciting. However, his blogs topics are very interesting in themselves. Unfortunately, I've come to the conclusion that Anissimov doesn't actually blog about technology, he writes about it and it's too scholarly and bland for my taste and what I'm looking for. So I'm off to find a legit blog! Till then.1. The development of computers that are “awake” and superhumanly intelligent. (To date, most controversy in the area of AI relates to whether we can create human equivalence in a machine. But if the answer is “yes, we can”, then there is little doubt that beings more intelligent can be constructed shortly thereafter.)2. Large computer networks (and their associated users) may “wake up” as a superhumanly intelligent entity.3. Computer/human interfaces may become so intimate that users may reasonably be considered superhumanly intelligent.4. Biological science may find ways to improve upon the natural human intellect.